Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 113.908252 125.385867 137.069653 149.827494 163.340178 177.201178 192.468963
2025-11-16 91.207661 107.822985 125.494310 145.577858 167.661081 191.099862 217.754488
2025-11-23 76.052862 96.236289 118.596405 144.933330 174.839601 207.493853 245.594087
2025-11-30 66.899441 90.067850 116.685627 149.014541 186.719783 228.842211 278.993081
2025-12-07 58.343780 83.487123 113.403789 150.792583 195.466737 246.392172 308.092065
2025-12-14 50.115555 76.308522 108.582774 150.046426 200.728683 259.584842 332.025648
2025-12-21 44.549030 71.825445 106.511794 152.163563 209.059020 276.164580 359.837372
2025-12-28 40.848008 69.347923 106.617624 156.701933 220.153574 295.963415 391.499618
2026-01-04 36.904517 66.089815 105.355500 159.222456 228.562576 312.437165 419.204958
2026-01-11 33.913858 63.841588 105.170179 162.925810 238.321985 330.505148 448.867239
2026-01-18 31.026448 61.431404 104.522924 165.835531 246.956419 347.148473 476.837463
2026-01-25 25.764570 54.842800 97.583203 159.910199 243.870156 348.965998 486.446842
2026-02-01 21.801524 49.903695 92.709611 156.606917 244.133533 355.043798 501.522874
2026-02-08 18.989644 46.533477 89.882819 155.950624 247.781158 365.378350 521.957417
2026-02-15 16.965493 44.279610 88.557638 157.289395 254.039169 379.059408 546.675409
2026-02-22 16.041257 43.905732 90.074960 162.700464 265.859637 400.016367 580.756453
2026-03-01 14.593386 42.370623 89.639090 165.183420 273.639714 415.743458 608.272975
2026-03-08 12.731809 39.774186 87.305445 164.712418 277.236127 425.948402 628.739834
2026-03-15 11.579112 38.454288 86.955732 167.136700 284.840012 441.447391 656.076240
2026-03-22 10.942586 38.145600 88.257865 172.056815 295.984745 461.707726 689.678628
2026-03-29 10.016286 37.071192 88.167861 174.787785 304.009748 477.835286 717.993995
2026-04-05 9.352705 36.500204 88.893278 178.751853 313.796083 496.354851 749.496011
2026-04-12 8.623469 35.668790 89.093881 181.858619 322.349452 513.251561 778.958099